Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.520561 0.596477 0.678798 0.774592 0.882893 1.001432 1.140900
2025-03-02 0.398223 0.499493 0.618644 0.768743 0.952321 1.169052 1.443812
2025-03-09 0.318352 0.434081 0.580823 0.779487 1.040236 1.369484 1.815238
2025-03-16 0.252166 0.371939 0.534812 0.770531 1.100611 1.543658 2.180060
2025-03-23 0.210880 0.334432 0.513582 0.789079 1.198047 1.777770 2.655386
2025-03-30 0.172208 0.292644 0.478223 0.780364 1.253962 1.960058 3.081812
2025-04-06 0.146357 0.265200 0.458908 0.791225 1.338555 2.192650 3.609579
2025-04-13 0.120220 0.231894 0.424097 0.770856 1.369628 2.345306 4.031448
2025-04-20 0.106747 0.217892 0.418789 0.797928 1.480706 2.636596 4.707189
2025-04-27 0.096197 0.207121 0.417059 0.830268 1.603977 2.960797 5.472779
2025-05-04 0.084659 0.192094 0.404783 0.840874 1.688787 3.227007 6.166170
2025-05-11 0.073791 0.176241 0.388138 0.840140 1.751455 3.459248 6.822168
2025-05-18 0.064409 0.161984 0.372850 0.840747 1.818652 3.710881 7.548868
2025-05-25 0.056079 0.148411 0.356743 0.837198 1.877099 3.952655 8.284319
2025-06-01 0.050199 0.139434 0.349149 0.850637 1.972135 4.276069 9.213198
2025-06-08 0.043700 0.127520 0.332823 0.842067 2.018963 4.507517 9.982776
2025-06-15 0.039821 0.121587 0.329578 0.862972 2.132934 4.889140 11.098784
2025-06-22 0.034873 0.111644 0.314768 0.853977 2.177812 5.128833 11.940742
2025-06-29 0.031572 0.105645 0.308936 0.866104 2.273272 5.488003 13.075247
2025-07-06 0.027270 0.095666 0.290829 0.844135 2.283874 5.658957 13.812119
2025-07-13 0.025463 0.093020 0.292295 0.873730 2.425316 6.142500 15.299253
2025-07-20 0.024000 0.091160 0.295675 0.909012 2.585509 6.685614 16.974138
2025-07-27 0.021915 0.086727 0.290797 0.920610 2.685721 7.095891 18.376308